We analyze how early-stage investors evaluate potential investments by using
ChatGPT to analyze 5,143 expert consultation calls. Companies discussed in these
calls are 15 percentage points more likely to receive financing in the following quarter.
Positive signals about technology integration and customer acquisition increase deal
likelihood by 14% and 10.5%, respectively, with their predictive power declining by
over 75% for mature companies. Market analysis and business strategy discussions –
comprising over 40% of call content—show minimal predictive power for investment
outcomes. Our findings document both how investors overcome information asymmetries
in early-stage investing and a misalignment between the information they seek and
the information that predicts investment outcomes. Methodologically, we demonstrate
the potential of LLMs to extract nuanced insights from complex qualitative data.