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Session 3.09: Operating Leverage and Risk Premium
Time:
Tuesday, 26/Aug/2025:
3:00pm - 3:30pm
Location: Mikado Conference hall Meeting hall “Mikado”, which can accommodate up to 50 people
Presentations
Operating Leverage and Risk Premium
Prof. Leonid Kogan1 , Prof. Jun Li2 , Prof. Harold Zhang1 , Prof. Yifan Zhu 3
1 MIT; 2 UT Dallas, United States of America; 3 BI Norwegian Business School
We introduce an out-of-sample neural-network-based measure of firm-level operating leverage, which outperforms existing ones in capturing the elasticity of operating profits to gross profits. Strikingly, our analysis uncovers a non-monotonic—and potentially negative—relationship between operating leverage and the risk premium. This challenges conventional wisdom and contradicts explanations that link operating leverage to the value premium. A production-based asset pricing model incorporating both variable and fixed costs provides a possible rationale for these empirical findings. Furthermore, our analysis offers a fresh perspective on the idiosyncratic volatility premium by emphasizing the interplay between the operating hedge effect induced by variable costs and the operating leverage effect induced by fixed costs.