Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

 
 
Session Overview
Session
B2: International Finance
Time:
Friday, 31/Mar/2023:
11:20am - 12:30pm

Session Chair: RĂ¼diger Weber, WU Vienna
Location: Room "Link"


Presentations

Currency Network Risk

Jozef Barunik2, Mykola Babiak1

1Lancaster University Management School, United Kingdom; 2Charles University, Czechia

Discussant: Guofu Zhou (Washington University in St. Louis)

This paper identifies a new currency risk stemming from time-varying linkages among option-based currency volatilities. The network strategy buying net-receivers and selling net-transmitters of transitory shocks to currency volatilities generates significant excess returns. Intuitively, net-receivers are exposed to volatility spillovers and compensate investors with higher average returns. In turn, net-transmitters are resilient to volatility transmission and offer a lower risk premium because they hedge against volatility interdependencies in the foreign exchange market. When volatility linkages are controlled for contemporaneous correlations, the network portfolio is uncorrelated with popular benchmarks. Also, the volatility network factor is priced in a broad currency cross-section.



Central Bank Swap Lines: Micro-Level Evidence

Ganesh Viswanath Natraj1, Gerardo Ferrara2, Philippe Mueller1, Junxuan Wang1

1Warwick Business School, United Kingdom; 2Bank of England, United Kingdom

Discussant: Jozef Barunik (Institute of Economic Studies, Charles University in Prague)

In this paper we investigate the price, volatility and micro-level effects of central bank swap lines during the 2020 pandemic. These policies lowered the ceiling on covered interest rate parity violations and reduced volatility following settlement of swap line auctions. We then combine dealer-level dollar repo auctions by the Bank of England with a trade repository that includes the universe of FX forward and swap contracts traded in the UK. We find evidence of a substitution channel: dealers that draw on swap lines reduce their demand for dollars at the forward leg in the FX market. We also find evidence that dealers that draw on swap lines increased their net supply of dollars to non-financial institutions, supporting the rationale for swap lines in providing cross-border liquidity to the real economy.